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MIT

Also known as: MIT
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1027 (#180) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1011 (#317) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1122 (#74) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +5.0 (#136) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +2.9 (#323) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.586 (#414) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.8 More → 0.435 (#377) NetEff -1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.0 More → 0.849 (#241) AdjNet +15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.8 More → 0.852 (#241) AdjNet +14.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.679 (#252) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 60.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 55.6 More → 0.611 (#218) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 55.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.659 (#253) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.661 (#251) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 20 More → 1165 (#95) RD 104 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Caltech W 64 - 50
2025-11-09 @ Pomona-Pitzer L 65 - 73
2025-11-13 vs JWU (Providence) L 67 - 69
2025-11-18 vs Emmanuel (MA) L 56 - 64
2025-11-22 @ Rhode Island Col. L 57 - 58
2025-11-25 @ Nichols W 62 - 41
2025-12-01 @ Endicott W 70 - 54
2025-12-03 @ Tufts L 63 - 79
2025-12-10 @ Smith L 45 - 78
2025-12-13 vs Brandeis L 59 - 67
2026-01-17 @ Clark (MA) L 61 - 62
2026-01-21 @ WPI W 53 - 51
2026-01-24 vs Babson L 48 - 63
2026-01-27 vs Middlebury W 60 - 48
2026-01-28 @ Emerson W 69 - 58
2026-01-31 @ Salve Regina W 66 - 54
2026-02-04 vs Wellesley W 59 - 49
2026-02-07 vs Mount Holyoke W 62 - 51

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ruth Lanouette - 18 32.9 12.1 3.4 2.2 2.8 0.3 3.4 11.7 5.7 88 4.2 13.2 35.5 20.3 72.0 2.98 44.5 38.6
Riley O'Sullivan - 18 27.2 10.1 6.5 0.9 0.9 0.6 2.2 8.1 8.7 10 0.5 1.9 55.5 35.7 62.5 2.11 58.1 57.2
Deana Prasad - 8 27.6 8.9 3.0 1.2 1.1 0.2 1.6 7.9 5.0 14 1.8 3.5 36.5 44.4 70.8 -0.38 48.3 42.9
Mary Lobon - 18 26.5 8.7 8.8 2.7 1.1 0.9 3.9 7.2 11.1 60 2.9 11.3 43.4 14.3 74.6 1.77 50.7 43.8
April Chan - 10 33.9 7.6 5.5 4.1 1.6 0.3 3.7 8.9 6.5 29 2.2 14.4 29.2 15.0 67.7 -1.34 37.0 30.9
Olivia Joseph - 18 25.1 6.8 3.4 1.0 1.1 0.7 1.2 6.7 5.2 29 1.4 6.8 35.0 30.8 71.9 0.52 45.9 41.7
Brianna Lebrun - 18 14.4 5.6 4.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 5.6 4.4 9 0.5 3.0 42.6 0 44.1 1.05 43.5 42.6
Mariam Abdelbarr - 18 17.4 3.8 3.2 1.1 1.1 0.1 2.2 5.6 1.6 -60 -3.0 -18.5 28.0 24.1 37.5 -1.21 32.2 31.5
Rachael Zacks - 17 13.6 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.8 3.1 2.5 5 0.3 2.1 25.0 29.4 62.5 2.24 39.0 34.6
Kaitlin Tam - 15 10.1 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.4 3.1 -0.3 -4 -0.3 -3.1 25.5 30.8 50.0 -4.5 34.5 34.0
Monagoz Okorie - 9 4.8 0.6 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2 -19 -2.4 -107.3 50.0 0 20.0 -0.88 40.3 50.0
Francesca Garfi - 11 2.6 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 -16 -1.3 -75.6 60.0 0 0 -1.75 60.0 60.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG