Smith
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1274 (#26) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1369 (#12) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1273 (#9) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +24.0 (#32) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +23.6 (#101) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.978 (#167) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.988 (#90) | NetEff +33.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.993 (#101) | AdjNet +42.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.993 (#104) | AdjNet +42.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.915 (#115) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 50.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.898 (#16) | AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 50.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.937 (#37) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.937 (#29) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1417 (#9) | RD 113 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Albertus Magnus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Hartford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | JWU (Providence) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Trinity (CT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Williams | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | MIT | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Husson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | TCNJ | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Middlebury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Coast Guard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Tufts | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Mount Holyoke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Salve Regina | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Wellesley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Clark (MA) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Johnson | - | 19 | 24.5 | 11.6 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 9.0 | 11.7 | 173 | 8.2 | 53.0 | 46.8 | 44.4 | 73.9 | 3.64 | 61.0 | 59.6 |
| Felicia Fongemie | - | 19 | 20.9 | 10.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.4 | 5.1 | 148 | 7.4 | 51.2 | 52.1 | 28.9 | 86.0 | 0.19 | 61.7 | 56.1 |
| Uta Nakamura | - | 19 | 26.8 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 6.9 | 7.6 | 201 | 9.6 | 60.1 | 51.9 | 40.6 | 77.6 | 2.45 | 61.3 | 56.9 |
| Hannah Martin | - | 12 | 25.2 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 111 | 7.9 | 39.8 | 40.6 | 28.2 | 72.0 | 0.41 | 50.0 | 46.4 |
| Selam Maher | - | 19 | 20.9 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 198 | 9.4 | 61.3 | 47.4 | 48.6 | 100.0 | 3.7 | 65.2 | 62.7 |
| Mya Williams | - | 17 | 13.3 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 6.0 | 180 | 10.0 | 98.6 | 50.7 | 0 | 71.8 | 6.64 | 57.0 | 50.7 |
| Kate Hackney | - | 19 | 13.9 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 7.9 | 51 | 2.4 | 22.9 | 57.1 | 0 | 63.8 | -1.35 | 60.9 | 57.1 |
| Ella Sylvester | - | 16 | 18.4 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 5.7 | 139 | 7.7 | 59.1 | 49.3 | 0 | 64.3 | 3.76 | 53.0 | 49.3 |
| Maggie Fleming | - | 19 | 15.5 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 143 | 6.8 | 80.9 | 51.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.45 | 60.5 | 57.1 |
| Bre'Aria Cannon | - | 15 | 16.7 | 3.9 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 115 | 6.4 | 92.6 | 39.3 | 28.6 | 92.3 | 0.27 | 47.0 | 41.1 |
| Shea Montague | - | 12 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 51 | 4.6 | 57.0 | 51.4 | 50.0 | 25.0 | -1.28 | 62.6 | 64.3 |
| Jillian Nowicki | - | 14 | 11.1 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 162 | 12.5 | 121.5 | 37.5 | 46.2 | 80.0 | 7.12 | 56.3 | 52.5 |
| Samara Ashooh | - | 5 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 44 | 8.8 | 344.0 | 54.5 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 52.8 | 54.5 |
| Ella Andrews | - | 9 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 56.2 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.66 | 56.4 | 56.2 |
| Alina Abdulina | - | 9 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 51 | 6.4 | 159.8 | 55.6 | 100.0 | 40.0 | 2.38 | 62.5 | 66.7 |
| Lena Lipani | - | 8 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 2.1 | -11 | -1.4 | -55.6 | 16.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 23.3 | 16.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG