🐻⬇️🏀

Emmanuel (MA)

Also known as: Emmanuel (MA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1211 (#53) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1107 (#140) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1120 (#76) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +5.4 (#153) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +6.7 (#253) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.603 (#405) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.5 More → 0.823 (#209) NetEff +10.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.5 More → 0.485 (#388) AdjNet -0.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.474 (#386) AdjNet -0.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 63.8 More → 0.486 (#378) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 63.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 52.5 More → 0.741 (#91) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 52.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.720 (#193) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.742 (#171) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 20 More → 1186 (#78) RD 109 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-10 @ Rhode Island - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Medgar Evers - Incomplete score
2025-11-16 vs RIT - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ MIT - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Southern Me. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Curry - Incomplete score
2025-12-02 vs Salve Regina - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 vs Central (IA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Colby-Sawyer - Incomplete score
2026-01-12 @ Wheaton (MA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Albertus Magnus - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Roger Williams - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 @ St. Joseph's (ME) - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Saint Joseph (CT) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs New England Col. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Lasell - Incomplete score
2026-02-03 vs Regis (MA) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Elms - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nylah Mitchell - 14 17.2 11.3 4.2 0.6 2.5 0.1 1.8 9.6 7.3 - - - 51.9 0.0 60.0 3.84 53.3 51.9
Tyra Blye - 16 24.6 9.7 3.9 1.3 2.2 0.3 2.2 10.7 4.5 - - - 37.4 16.7 75.8 -5.13 41.8 38.0
Geanna Bryant - 15 25.7 9.1 4.5 4.3 4.9 0.1 3.5 7.7 11.6 - - - 44.3 33.3 73.3 1.96 53.0 49.6
Lia Krumian - 16 27.1 8.9 2.4 1.7 1.5 0.0 1.8 8.5 4.2 - - - 37.5 29.0 81.5 1.63 48.0 44.1
Kalia Saunders - 15 17.3 7.2 4.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 6.5 6.8 - - - 48.0 0.0 70.0 -0.45 50.6 48.0
Aylana Mergilles - 2 9.2 5.5 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.5 7.0 - - - 40.0 0 87.5 - 64.6 40.0
Shea Canavan - 16 14.4 5.4 2.4 2.3 2.4 0.0 1.6 4.7 6.3 - - - 41.3 26.5 88.9 4.85 52.5 47.3
Megan Reilly - 14 19.7 4.8 5.2 1.4 1.5 0.3 1.2 5.5 6.4 36 1.8 24.1 39.0 16.7 50.0 4.87 41.2 40.3
Kaitlyn Bartash - 15 15.1 4.3 3.3 0.6 0.5 1.2 1.1 4.2 4.6 - - - 46.0 0 46.2 2.37 46.6 46.0
Eliana Jackson - 16 12.7 3.6 2.9 0.7 0.7 0.1 1.1 3.3 3.6 -25 -1.9 -15.6 47.2 0 25.0 1.79 43.2 47.2
Kendyl Ouimette - 16 12.1 3.1 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.0 1.1 4.5 1.1 - - - 25.0 15.2 44.4 1.88 30.7 28.5
Nylah Moore - 9 7.9 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 2.4 0.7 - - - 40.9 12.5 100.0 -3.06 45.9 43.2
Jordan Whitehead - 12 6.7 2.2 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.7 0.6 - - - 31.2 28.6 100.0 -0.53 39.5 37.5
Charlotte Jordan - 9 10.1 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.3 2.0 0.7 - - - 27.8 27.3 75.0 -1.66 40.5 36.1
Cassidy Yung - 9 6.3 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.3 - - - 25.0 40.0 50.0 -2.27 34.9 31.2
Madisun Hill - 7 4.9 1.0 1.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.4 0.7 1.1 - - - 40.0 0.0 75.0 -3.15 51.8 40.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG