Emmanuel (MA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1038 (#149) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1084 (#177) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1120 (#76) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.8 (#118) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.7 (#253) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.603 (#405) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.823 (#209) | NetEff +10.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.485 (#388) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.474 (#386) | AdjNet -0.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.486 (#378) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 63.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.741 (#91) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 52.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.720 (#193) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.742 (#171) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1186 (#75) | RD 109 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Rhode Island | L | 49 - 105 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Medgar Evers | W | 108 - 31 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | RIT | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | MIT | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Southern Me. | L | 77 - 86 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Curry | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Salve Regina | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 53 - 45 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Colby-Sawyer | W | 79 - 53 |
| 2026-01-12 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | W | 72 - 51 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Albertus Magnus | W | 81 - 50 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Roger Williams | L | 54 - 59 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | St. Joseph's (ME) | W | 72 - 46 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | W | 70 - 44 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | New England Col. | W | 72 - 45 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Lasell | W | 73 - 60 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Regis (MA) | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Elms | W | 58 - 30 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nylah Mitchell | - | 14 | 17.2 | 11.3 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 9.6 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 51.9 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 53.3 | 51.9 |
| Tyra Blye | - | 17 | 25.2 | 10.2 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 11.1 | 4.8 | - | - | - | 38.3 | 31.2 | 75.8 | - | 43.0 | 39.6 |
| Geanna Bryant | - | 16 | 25.7 | 8.8 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 7.6 | 11.4 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 33.3 | 73.3 | - | 52.5 | 49.2 |
| Lia Krumian | - | 17 | 27.2 | 8.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.5 | 4.1 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 29.7 | 81.5 | - | 47.8 | 44.1 |
| Kalia Saunders | - | 16 | 17.4 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 46.2 | 20.0 | 70.0 | - | 49.2 | 46.6 |
| Shea Canavan | - | 17 | 14.4 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 5.7 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 25.7 | 80.0 | - | 50.1 | 45.6 |
| Megan Reilly | - | 15 | 20.1 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 36 | 1.8 | 24.1 | 38.1 | 21.4 | 50.0 | -0.1 | 40.7 | 39.9 |
| Kaitlyn Bartash | - | 15 | 15.1 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 4.6 | - | - | - | 46.0 | 0 | 46.2 | - | 46.6 | 46.0 |
| Aylana Mergilles | - | 3 | 8.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 80.0 | - | 63.8 | 40.0 |
| Eliana Jackson | - | 17 | 12.9 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 3.5 | -25 | -1.9 | -15.6 | 45.8 | 0 | 25.0 | -1.07 | 42.4 | 45.8 |
| Kendyl Ouimette | - | 17 | 12.0 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 17.6 | 44.4 | - | 31.0 | 28.9 |
| Jordan Whitehead | - | 12 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 28.6 | 100.0 | - | 39.5 | 37.5 |
| Nylah Moore | - | 10 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 39.1 | 11.1 | 100.0 | - | 44.0 | 41.3 |
| Charlotte Jordan | - | 10 | 9.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 26.3 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 38.5 | 34.2 |
| Cassidy Yung | - | 10 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | - | 34.9 | 31.2 |
| Madisun Hill | - | 7 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 51.8 | 40.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG