JWU (Providence)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1261 (#31) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1227 (#54) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1078 (#124) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.4 (#112) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.9 (#251) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.787 (#319) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.934 (#137) | NetEff +19.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.450 (#398) | AdjNet -1.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.435 (#396) | AdjNet -2.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.472 (#388) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.676 (#147) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 59.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.703 (#215) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.714 (#196) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1226 (#55) | RD 88 | GP 39 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Warren Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Pfeiffer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-13 | @ | MIT | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Salem (NC) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Western New Eng. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Brevard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Toccoa Falls | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Roger Williams | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Winthrop | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Methodist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Salem St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Guilford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Averett | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Alfred | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Union (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Bluefield Univ. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Suffolk | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | North Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Wentworth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | U New England | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Mary Washington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Gordon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Bob Jones | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Curry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Suffolk | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Hartford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Endicott | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Jaffray | - | 13 | 33.5 | 26.0 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 20.1 | 13.7 | - | - | - | 40.2 | 29.7 | 81.7 | 4.0 | 53.9 | 46.0 |
| Brianne Foley | - | 18 | 31.8 | 15.8 | 7.8 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 14.9 | 12.1 | 152 | 7.6 | 56.8 | 39.8 | 29.2 | 81.5 | 2.48 | 48.5 | 44.6 |
| Laylah Toscano | - | 14 | 30.8 | 13.5 | 10.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 12.3 | 14.1 | - | - | - | 40.1 | 29.4 | 78.8 | 1.88 | 48.5 | 43.0 |
| DeAshaj Crawford | - | 5 | 22.8 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 9.0 | 8.8 | - | - | - | 51.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.88 | 56.7 | 56.7 |
| Kyrah Davis | - | 13 | 26.1 | 11.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 12.5 | 2.5 | 19 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 35.0 | 22.2 | 72.0 | -1.57 | 42.0 | 39.3 |
| Isabella Suero | - | 18 | 27.6 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 11.6 | 2.3 | 121 | 6.4 | 47.0 | 29.2 | 26.5 | 85.0 | 0.61 | 40.2 | 37.8 |
| Maliah Preston | - | 14 | 33.2 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 11.3 | 6.4 | - | - | - | 28.5 | 20.7 | 62.1 | -0.53 | 36.9 | 34.2 |
| Mya Jiminez | - | 7 | 21.6 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 9.3 | 5.0 | 103 | 14.7 | 62.6 | 35.4 | 31.4 | 75.0 | 3.92 | 44.9 | 43.8 |
| Korletta Daniels | - | 14 | 24.5 | 8.1 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 8.8 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 35.8 | 15.2 | 65.6 | -1.54 | 41.6 | 37.8 |
| Laken Powe | - | 7 | 17.4 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 5.4 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 47.4 | 0 | 61.5 | 0.21 | 50.3 | 47.4 |
| Gabby Tapley | - | 13 | 16.8 | 6.1 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 6.3 | - | - | - | 38.8 | 0.0 | 71.1 | -1.71 | 47.2 | 38.8 |
| Ava Byrne | - | 3 | 19.8 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 33.3 | 71.4 | -0.01 | 52.9 | 46.2 |
| Mikayla Caruso | - | 18 | 25.5 | 5.6 | 7.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 4.3 | 12.1 | 72 | 3.6 | 39.5 | 55.1 | 14.3 | 68.4 | 0.44 | 58.5 | 56.4 |
| De'Ashaj Crawford | - | 9 | 16.2 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 6.3 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 28.1 | 25.0 | 70.6 | -0.91 | 38.0 | 32.5 |
| Mia Cruz | - | 18 | 20.0 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 6.2 | 81 | 4.0 | 42.9 | 48.8 | 38.7 | 53.8 | 1.27 | 56.6 | 56.2 |
| Tahlia Pena | - | 18 | 20.4 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 66 | 3.5 | 40.2 | 28.2 | 30.0 | 77.1 | -2.25 | 46.0 | 37.8 |
| Sydney Wells | - | 14 | 11.1 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.0 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 28.3 | 66.7 | -1.87 | 42.6 | 40.7 |
| Gabby Bryant | - | 14 | 13.0 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 4.9 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 33.8 | 15.0 | 64.3 | 4.14 | 39.1 | 36.0 |
| Julia Blum | - | 18 | 15.1 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 5.9 | 89 | 4.7 | 57.4 | 43.4 | 35.0 | 66.7 | 2.94 | 54.7 | 50.0 |
| Erica Rawlings | - | 13 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 30.6 | 0 | 40.0 | 0.3 | 32.2 | 30.6 |
| Alexa Lora | - | 18 | 8.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 0.7 | -12 | -0.6 | -18.2 | 30.2 | 21.4 | 75.0 | -0.55 | 37.6 | 33.7 |
| Zoe Mercado | - | 16 | 7.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | -26 | -1.7 | -28.2 | 39.3 | 0.0 | 55.6 | -4.36 | 42.2 | 39.3 |
| Lily Gorum | - | 5 | 12.8 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 16.9 | 12.5 |
| Bethany Ebanks | - | 3 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Gabriela D'Ambrosio | - | 11 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -14 | -1.2 | -182.6 | 30.8 | 30.0 | 0 | -0.92 | 42.3 | 42.3 |
| Laura Kamal | - | 2 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Gabby Golphin | - | 10 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.68 | 29.6 | 23.1 |
| Kamaya Robinson | - | 4 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 15 | 0.7 | 7.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jasmine Scott | - | 7 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 14.8 | 20.0 |
| Rachel Penny | - | 15 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -14 | -0.9 | -182.6 | 16.7 | 10.0 | 0 | -2.48 | 20.8 | 20.8 |
| Mckenzie Harris | - | 1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mya Jimenez | - | 1 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -75 | -4.7 | -44.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Laura Kamel | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG