Clark (MA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 960 (#319) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1091 (#167) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1122 (#73) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.2 (#174) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.3 (#290) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.710 (#361) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.932 (#138) | NetEff +17.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.570 (#358) | AdjNet +2.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.583 (#349) | AdjNet +2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.512 (#364) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 66.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.672 (#156) | AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 56.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.688 (#228) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.699 (#216) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1194 (#72) | RD 105 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Anna Maria | W | 113 - 54 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | WPI | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Fitchburg St. | W | 79 - 37 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Curry | W | 80 - 55 |
| 2025-11-17 | @ | U New England | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Salem St. | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 70 - 71 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Brandeis | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Framingham St. | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Suffolk | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Fisher | W | 91 - 16 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | MIT | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | W | 75 - 52 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Mount Holyoke | W | 56 - 36 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Springfield | W | 60 - 56 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Coast Guard | W | 63 - 56 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Salve Regina | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Smith | L | 64 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyriah Coleman | - | 18 | 28.9 | 13.1 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 9.3 | 13.7 | 16 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 39.9 | 39.0 | 76.1 | 1.06 | 56.6 | 49.4 |
| Atiya Watson | - | 18 | 24.0 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 9.7 | 7.0 | 121 | 6.4 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 24.2 | 79.5 | 7.22 | 50.2 | 42.3 |
| Kailey Rios | - | 17 | 28.2 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 11.7 | 4.4 | -25 | -1.4 | -6.0 | 37.2 | 33.1 | 53.8 | 0.71 | 47.9 | 47.5 |
| Emerson Webb | - | 2 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 54 | 27.0 | 716.0 | 72.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.16 | 75.8 | 72.7 |
| Catherine Antwi | - | 18 | 20.3 | 8.9 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 16 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 38.3 | 32.1 | 62.5 | 1.63 | 49.1 | 47.0 |
| Leilani Benson | - | 18 | 14.0 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 5.8 | 6.4 | 61 | 3.2 | 22.4 | 40.4 | 0.0 | 42.3 | 1.64 | 41.1 | 40.4 |
| Emma Drefs | - | 18 | 19.3 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 4.1 | -16 | -0.8 | -4.4 | 45.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.31 | 47.5 | 45.3 |
| Olivia Shipley | - | 18 | 18.9 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 7.3 | -17 | -0.9 | -5.1 | 47.1 | 0 | 43.5 | -2.08 | 47.4 | 47.1 |
| Ashley Leighton | - | 10 | 7.1 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 64 | 6.4 | 106.7 | 59.1 | 0 | 69.2 | 1.31 | 63.1 | 59.1 |
| K. Perez-Guerrero | - | 2 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1 | -0.5 | -44.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.07 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Mia Mabanag | - | 17 | 9.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 117 | 6.9 | 89.4 | 34.8 | 25.9 | 100.0 | 0.7 | 43.7 | 42.4 |
| Kiley Drezek | - | 18 | 13.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 52 | 3.1 | 30.7 | 29.3 | 22.2 | 87.5 | 2.29 | 43.7 | 34.1 |
| Bella Galatt | - | 14 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 68 | 4.2 | 33.1 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 61.5 | 0.09 | 59.0 | 55.6 |
| Juliette Tarsa | - | 7 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 47 | 5.9 | 68.4 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.28 | 44.1 | 43.3 |
| Karilyn Perez-Guerrero | - | 13 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 29 | 1.9 | 27.9 | 38.5 | 0 | 92.9 | 0.6 | 60.0 | 38.5 |
| Gabrielle Watson | - | 16 | 7.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 50 | 3.1 | 49.2 | 19.4 | 5.6 | 100.0 | 0.65 | 23.5 | 21.0 |
| Karilyn Perez-Guerre | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG