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Clark (MA)

Also known as: Clark (MA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 960 (#319) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1091 (#167) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1122 (#73) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +2.2 (#174) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +4.3 (#290) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.710 (#361) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +17.8 More → 0.932 (#138) NetEff +17.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.5 More → 0.570 (#358) AdjNet +2.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.8 More → 0.583 (#349) AdjNet +2.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 66.8 More → 0.512 (#364) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 66.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 56.6 More → 0.672 (#156) AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 56.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.688 (#228) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.699 (#216) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 21 More → 1194 (#72) RD 105 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Anna Maria W 113 - 54
2025-11-08 vs WPI W 55 - 52
2025-11-12 @ Fitchburg St. W 79 - 37
2025-11-15 vs Curry W 80 - 55
2025-11-17 @ U New England W 61 - 58
2025-11-22 @ Salem St. W 67 - 64
2025-11-25 vs Wesleyan (CT) L 70 - 71
2025-12-03 @ Brandeis L 71 - 76
2025-12-09 vs Framingham St. W 80 - 62
2025-12-30 vs Suffolk W 66 - 53
2026-01-14 vs Fisher W 91 - 16
2026-01-17 vs MIT W 62 - 61
2026-01-21 vs Wheaton (MA) W 75 - 52
2026-01-24 @ Mount Holyoke W 56 - 36
2026-01-28 @ Springfield W 60 - 56
2026-01-31 vs Coast Guard W 63 - 56
2026-02-04 vs Salve Regina W 68 - 54
2026-02-07 @ Smith L 64 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cyriah Coleman - 18 28.9 13.1 5.9 4.2 2.0 0.6 2.8 9.3 13.7 16 1.0 3.3 39.9 39.0 76.1 1.06 56.6 49.4
Atiya Watson - 18 24.0 11.7 2.8 2.9 1.9 0.1 2.6 9.7 7.0 121 6.4 26.0 40.0 24.2 79.5 7.22 50.2 42.3
Kailey Rios - 17 28.2 11.5 3.0 1.8 1.5 0.2 2.1 11.7 4.4 -25 -1.4 -6.0 37.2 33.1 53.8 0.71 47.9 47.5
Emerson Webb - 2 13.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.5 6.5 54 27.0 716.0 72.7 0 100.0 -0.16 75.8 72.7
Catherine Antwi - 18 20.3 8.9 2.5 1.1 2.3 0.1 1.3 8.3 5.3 16 0.8 5.2 38.3 32.1 62.5 1.63 49.1 47.0
Leilani Benson - 18 14.0 5.3 5.8 0.5 1.2 0.8 1.5 5.8 6.4 61 3.2 22.4 40.4 0.0 42.3 1.64 41.1 40.4
Emma Drefs - 18 19.3 4.9 3.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 1.1 4.8 4.1 -16 -0.8 -4.4 45.3 0.0 66.7 1.31 47.5 45.3
Olivia Shipley - 18 18.9 4.1 4.2 1.3 0.7 1.8 1.0 3.8 7.3 -17 -0.9 -5.1 47.1 0 43.5 -2.08 47.4 47.1
Ashley Leighton - 10 7.1 3.5 2.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.7 2.2 4.2 64 6.4 106.7 59.1 0 69.2 1.31 63.1 59.1
K. Perez-Guerrero - 2 7.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 4.0 -1 -0.5 -44.4 50.0 0 100.0 -0.07 61.5 50.0
Mia Mabanag - 17 9.3 2.4 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 1.1 2.7 1.4 117 6.9 89.4 34.8 25.9 100.0 0.7 43.7 42.4
Kiley Drezek - 18 13.1 2.3 2.6 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.9 2.3 3.6 52 3.1 30.7 29.3 22.2 87.5 2.29 43.7 34.1
Bella Galatt - 14 8.7 2.0 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.6 1.3 3.2 68 4.2 33.1 50.0 40.0 61.5 0.09 59.0 55.6
Juliette Tarsa - 7 7.2 2.0 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.0 2.1 1.4 47 5.9 68.4 40.0 33.3 50.0 0.28 44.1 43.3
Karilyn Perez-Guerrero - 13 6.4 1.8 2.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 3.2 29 1.9 27.9 38.5 0 92.9 0.6 60.0 38.5
Gabrielle Watson - 16 7.2 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.9 0.4 50 3.1 49.2 19.4 5.6 100.0 0.65 23.5 21.0
Karilyn Perez-Guerre - 1 16.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG