Nichols
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 862 (#503) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 950 (#400) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 938 (#578) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.1 (#320) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.5 (#522) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.479 (#465) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.537 (#348) | NetEff +1.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.141 (#522) | AdjNet -15.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.128 (#523) | AdjNet -16.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.280 (#518) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 82.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.362 (#573) | AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.290 (#538) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.294 (#538) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 924 (#403) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Dean | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-13 | vs | WestConn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Colby-Sawyer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Endicott | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Rivier | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | MIT | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Curry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Norwich | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Westfield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Mitchell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Roger Williams | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Western New Eng. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Hartford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Suffolk | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | U New England | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Endicott | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Wentworth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Suffolk | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreau, Jordan | - | 1 | 37.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 50.0 | 66.7 | - | 69.6 | 68.2 |
| Bono, Allison | - | 1 | 40.0 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 66.6 | 59.1 |
| Alyvia Smith | - | 17 | 32.2 | 16.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 15.1 | 5.8 | -14 | -0.7 | -4.3 | 37.0 | 34.9 | 74.4 | 0.08 | 49.6 | 47.3 |
| Tune, Tatiana | - | 1 | 32.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0 | 85.7 | 0.23 | 66.2 | 55.6 |
| Thurman, Ava | - | 1 | 38.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 50.5 | 50.0 |
| Summer Klein | - | 12 | 20.4 | 9.5 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 8.4 | - | - | - | 45.7 | 32.0 | 75.9 | 1.76 | 54.4 | 50.0 |
| Verdile, Olivia | - | 1 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 38.3 | 35.0 |
| Adriana Romano | - | 17 | 27.1 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 9.9 | 5.1 | -38 | -1.9 | -14.5 | 33.3 | 26.1 | 51.4 | -1.36 | 37.1 | 35.1 |
| Dakoda Correira | - | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 68.0 | 70.0 |
| Rylee Barrieault | - | 17 | 27.3 | 7.7 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 23 | 1.1 | 8.9 | 31.5 | 27.6 | 55.6 | 2.53 | 42.8 | 42.3 |
| Angie Coletti | - | 17 | 26.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 7.0 | 7 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 34.9 | 27.3 | 62.5 | 1.13 | 39.8 | 37.7 |
| Tianna Fernandez | - | 16 | 12.4 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.6 | 3.0 | -17 | -0.9 | -9.4 | 41.4 | 0 | 51.9 | -1.52 | 44.4 | 41.4 |
| Kya Burdier | - | 15 | 16.2 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 5.6 | -8 | -0.4 | -3.1 | 44.7 | 40.0 | 70.6 | -1.75 | 52.8 | 47.4 |
| Berkowitz, Claire | - | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jaelize Rivera | - | 17 | 12.0 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 41 | 2.0 | 36.6 | 27.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 2.25 | 35.3 | 33.1 |
| Isabella Lopez-Marin | - | 14 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 36.1 | 0.0 | 63.6 | -0.26 | 40.4 | 36.1 |
| Dakoda Correia | - | 16 | 14.6 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 21 | 1.1 | 23.2 | 18.0 | 20.0 | 69.2 | -0.42 | 29.6 | 24.0 |
| Jailyn Garvin-Martin | - | 6 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 23 | 1.4 | 17.3 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 25.0 | 2.43 | 61.5 | 68.8 |
| Avery James | - | 6 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | -115 | -6.8 | -58.6 | 22.2 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -2.56 | 35.4 | 27.8 |
| Riley Bassett | - | 4 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | -15 | -3.0 | -57.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Juliana Brimecombe | - | 13 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | -45 | -3.2 | -220.9 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 37.5 | -6.66 | 24.1 | 18.2 |
| Adison Whitty | - | 11 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -3.47 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
| Mackenzie Reynolds | - | 11 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -15.4 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.6 | 22.2 | 22.2 |
| Meili Gerety | - | 11 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 18.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| More, Delaney | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2 | -0.7 | -77.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brown, Akiyah | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG