🐻⬇️🏀

Louisville

Also known as: Louisville Cardinals, Louisville
Program History

2016 Team Stats (23 games)

72.2
PPG
63.2
Opp
+9.0
Margin
45.4%
FG%
34.5%
3P%
69.9%
FT%
36.9
RPG
13.2
APG
11.7
TO
78.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1508 (#55) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1572 (#21) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +34.5 (#46) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.649 (#19) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.2 More → 0.649 (#19) NetEff +5.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.7 More → 0.845 (#12) AdjNet +14.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.8 More → 0.847 (#12) AdjNet +14.8

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-12-05 vs Grand Canyon Lopes W 111 - 63
2015-12-12 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 86 - 53
2015-12-16 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 94 - 57
2015-12-19 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 78 - 56
2015-12-26 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 73 - 75
2016-01-03 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 65 - 57
2016-01-07 @ NC State Wolfpack W 77 - 72
2016-01-10 @ Clemson Tigers L 62 - 66
2016-01-14 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 59 - 41
2016-01-20 vs Florida State Seminoles W 84 - 65
2016-01-23 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 75 - 71
2016-01-27 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 91 - 83
2016-01-30 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 47 - 63
2016-02-01 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 71 - 65
2016-02-06 vs Boston College Eagles W 79 - 47
2016-02-08 @ Duke Blue Devils L 65 - 72
2016-02-13 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 66 - 71
2016-02-17 vs Syracuse Orange W 72 - 58
2016-02-20 vs Duke Blue Devils W 71 - 64
2016-02-24 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 67 - 60
2016-02-27 @ Miami Hurricanes L 65 - 73
2016-03-01 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 56 - 53
2016-03-05 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 46 - 68

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Lee D. Lee G 22 35.4 15.6 4.0 2.1 1.4 0.0 1.7 12.1 9.3 52 2.7 3.2 39.3 34.5 83.3 1.57 55.0 48.3
C. Onuaku C. Onuaku - 23 26.0 10.5 8.9 1.7 0.7 1.9 2.3 7.6 13.7 66 3.0 4.1 61.7 0.0 58.1 1.58 62.1 61.7
T. Lewis T. Lewis G 23 27.1 10.0 2.9 2.0 1.1 0.0 1.8 8.8 5.4 87 4.8 6.0 40.1 33.0 78.7 1.62 51.4 47.5
Q. Snider Q. Snider G 23 27.9 9.6 2.3 3.5 0.7 0.0 1.4 8.3 6.4 58 2.8 3.5 39.5 40.8 76.5 1.55 51.8 47.6
D. Mitchell D. Mitchell - 23 19.6 7.3 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.1 1.1 6.4 6.0 21 1.2 1.6 43.5 23.1 70.7 1.3 51.2 47.6
M. Mathiang M. Mathiang F 4 18.0 6.5 4.2 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.5 4.0 7.2 - - - 56.2 0 53.3 0.13 57.5 56.2
Ray Spalding Ray Spalding F 22 18.6 5.4 4.2 0.5 1.0 0.7 1.0 4.2 6.6 53 2.8 4.4 51.6 33.3 55.0 1.34 53.8 52.2
J. Johnson J. Johnson F 23 18.4 4.7 3.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 5.0 3.6 -16 -0.4 -2.1 42.2 22.2 57.1 0.98 44.2 43.1
D. Adel D. Adel F 18 11.5 4.0 2.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.0 3.2 2.7 47 6.7 8.5 47.4 35.0 73.3 0.96 56.6 53.5
A. Mahmoud A. Mahmoud F 15 13.1 3.4 2.9 0.6 0.5 1.3 0.7 3.1 4.8 7 0.6 1.0 44.7 0 47.4 0.96 46.1 44.7
D. Levitch D. Levitch G 11 7.1 2.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.6 - - - 78.6 77.8 60.0 0.07 98.8 103.6
M. Stockman M. Stockman C 19 5.6 2.5 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 2.0 2.4 25 3.1 6.2 55.3 0 50.0 0.64 55.4 55.3
J. Henderson J. Henderson G 5 2.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.0 4 0.7 1.0 33.3 50.0 0 0.58 50.0 50.0
D. Avare D. Avare G 3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG