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2016-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 33.8% 66.2% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% -
Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% -
Log Adjusted 40.3% 59.7% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +14 (72-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Cooney * 37 6-14 5-10 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 19 6 +4.0
M. Gbinije * 35 5-11 1-4 2-4 7 5 1 0 3 13 12 -11.0
M. Richardson * 32 2-9 2-6 4-8 2 2 2 0 1 10 6 -
T. Roberson * 24 2-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 5 5 -
D. Coleman * 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 4 6 -0.2
T. Lydon 31 2-7 0-3 2-3 7 0 0 0 3 6 3 -
F. Howard 23 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 6 2 0 1 1 10 -0.3

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lee * 39 6-14 3-9 0-0 6 4 2 0 2 15 11 +15.7
Q. Snider * 31 2-10 1-7 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 5 4 +13.4
C. Onuaku * 29 6-9 0-0 1-1 15 4 1 1 1 13 24 -
J. Johnson * 26 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
D. Mitchell * 18 4-7 0-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 8 8 -
T. Lewis 26 6-11 2-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 14 8 +15.8
R. Spalding 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
M. Stockman 10 3-6 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
D. Adel 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Levitch 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter