Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lee * | 36 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +2.5 |
| C. Onuaku * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Mitchell * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Lewis * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.6 |
| Q. Snider | 32 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | -3.5 |
| R. Spalding | 19 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Adel | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
| D. Levitch | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Stockman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Martin | 28 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Barber * | 39 | 7-22 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 5 | +6.1 |
| A. Abu * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| M. Rowan * | 32 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | +7.8 |
| B. Anya * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| L. Freeman | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +1.3 |
| C. Martin | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter