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2016-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 19.3% 80.7% -
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% -
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +18 (59-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Young * 37 7-16 0-0 4-6 8 1 0 0 4 18 7 -
J. Robinson * 35 0-6 0-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 3 1 -2 -
J. Artis * 30 3-9 0-4 5-7 3 0 0 0 4 11 1 -4.5
S. Smith * 27 0-1 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 4 0 3 -
R. Maia * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 5 -
S. Jeter 20 0-2 0-0 2-5 3 0 1 1 1 2 4 -
D. Wilson 14 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -4.7
R. Luther 10 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -3.0
C. Jones 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
C. Johnson 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Nelson-Ododa 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lee * 37 5-13 0-4 8-9 5 1 4 1 1 18 15 +8.7
C. Onuaku * 33 7-13 0-0 4-5 10 1 2 3 6 18 15 -
T. Lewis * 32 0-6 0-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 0 1 +4.8
Q. Snider * 24 3-6 1-2 1-2 1 3 2 0 2 8 6 -
J. Johnson * 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Mitchell 23 1-3 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
R. Spalding 22 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 2 4 7 -
A. Mahmoud 13 2-4 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 5 5 +4.3
D. Adel 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Levitch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter