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LSU

Also known as: LSU Tigers, LSU
Program History

2020 Team Stats (9 games)

82.9
PPG
79.8
Opp
+3.1
Margin
46.5%
FG%
31.6%
3P%
77.7%
FT%
41.8
RPG
10.8
APG
13.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
81.4
Adj PPG
69.3
Adj Opp PPG
#34
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1286 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1212 (#32) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 1079 (#83) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +13.1 (#34) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +12.5 (#36) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.747 (#51) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.3 More โ†’ 0.903 (#35) AdjNet +19.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.6 More โ†’ 0.905 (#35) AdjNet +19.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.4 | AdjD 69.3 More โ†’ 0.750 (#34) AdjO 81.4 | AdjD 69.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 71.2 More โ†’ 0.673 (#34) AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 71.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.783 (#37) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.770 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 86 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1218 (#37) RD 86 | GP 31

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-08 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 88 - 79
2019-11-13 @ VCU Rams L 82 - 84
2019-11-16 vs Nicholls Colonels W 75 - 65
2019-11-19 vs UMBC Retrievers W 77 - 50
2019-11-22 vs Utah State Aggies L 78 - 80
2019-11-24 @ Rhode Island Rams W 96 - 83
2019-11-29 vs Missouri State Bears W 73 - 58
2019-12-03 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 90 - 54
2019-12-08 vs Northwestern State Demons W 109 - 59
2019-12-18 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 63 - 74
2019-12-21 @ USC Trojans L 68 - 70
2019-12-29 vs Liberty Flames W 74 - 57
2020-01-04 @ Tennessee Volunteers W 78 - 64
2020-01-08 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 79 - 77
2020-01-11 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 60 - 59
2020-01-14 @ Texas A&M Aggies W 89 - 85
2020-01-18 @ Ole Miss Rebels W 80 - 76
2020-01-21 vs Florida Gators W 84 - 82
2020-01-25 @ Texas Longhorns W 69 - 67
2020-01-29 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 90 - 76
2020-02-01 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 73 - 63
2020-02-05 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 90 - 99
2020-02-08 @ Auburn Tigers L 90 - 91
2020-02-11 vs Missouri Tigers W 82 - 78
2020-02-15 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 82 - 88
2020-02-18 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 76 - 79
2020-02-22 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 86 - 80
2020-02-26 @ Florida Gators L 66 - 81
2020-02-29 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 64 - 50
2020-03-04 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 90 - 99
2020-03-07 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 94 - 64
2020-03-13 vs TBD - Preview

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Skylar Mays Skylar Mays - 29 34.2 16.5 5.1 3.1 1.7 0.2 2.2 6.4 18.0 157 29 5.4 6.5 53.5 42.9 85.0 2.56 108.5 61.6
Emmitt Williams Emmitt Williams F 29 28.3 13.4 6.8 1.2 0.8 1.3 1.9 4.6 17.0 79 29 2.7 4.0 51.1 45.5 80.0 -1.33 116.9 53.0
Trendon Watford Trendon Watford - 29 31.5 13.4 7.2 1.7 0.9 0.7 2.7 5.6 15.6 123 29 4.2 5.6 50.3 22.9 65.2 0.33 101.9 52.8
Javonte Smart Javonte Smart - 29 34.2 12.7 3.7 4.1 1.1 0.2 2.2 6.1 13.3 165 29 5.7 6.8 40.4 33.8 79.5 0.99 93.5 47.5
Darius Days Darius Days F 29 23.3 11.1 6.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.0 4.8 13.7 177 29 6.1 10.8 49.3 31.0 82.4 4.0 103.9 57.1
Charles Manning Charles Manning G 18 22.4 7.9 3.2 1.1 0.6 1.1 0.9 2.9 10.0 117 17 6.9 12.8 42.3 56.2 80.0 2.36 126.8 51.0
Trae Hannibal Trae Hannibal - 1 14.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Marlon Taylor Marlon Taylor G 19 23.1 5.9 3.6 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.7 2.4 7.9 79 20 4.0 6.9 35.6 35.3 72.0 1.9 100.0 42.2
Aundre Hyatt Aundre Hyatt - 26 11.7 2.2 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 1.1 3.8 92 27 3.4 12.3 24.1 11.1 0 0.69 96.6 27.6
Marshall Graves Marshall Graves G 16 7.2 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 56 16 3.5 19.9 22.2 12.5 50.0 2.97 121.5 27.8
Courtese Cooper Courtese Cooper F 10 5.9 1.2 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.2 40 10 4.0 26.8 0 0 0 2.05 0 0
James Bishop James Bishop - 4 5.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.8 -0.5 10 14 0.7 3.3 66.7 0 0 -3.39 66.7 66.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG