Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +27 (77-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimitrije Spasojevic * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| K.J. Jackson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| L.J. Owens * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Horvath * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Arkel Lamar * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Darnell Rogers | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Keondre Kennedy | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Max Curran | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jack Schwietz | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Nathan Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trendon Watford * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Skylar Mays * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Emmitt Williams * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Javonte Smart * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Darius Days * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Charles Manning | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Aundre Hyatt | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Courtese Cooper | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Marshall Graves | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter