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2019-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 15.8% 84.2% -
Margin 4.3% 95.7% +17.1 (8.1 off)

Actual: LSU Tigers +9 (88-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Turner * 37 10-19 4-7 2-2 6 3 3 0 1 26 18 -
C. Fields * 32 4-10 4-7 5-8 2 1 2 0 3 17 9 -
D. Frye * 30 5-16 2-9 3-3 3 5 0 0 1 15 6 -
D. Plowden * 27 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 3 1 -
T. Mattos * 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 12 0 1 0 1 4 13 -
M. Laster 18 0-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 -4 -
T. Diggs 16 3-11 3-8 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 9 4 -
M. Sierra 9 0-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Swingle 6 0-1 0-0 3-4 0 1 2 0 0 3 5 -
M. Kulackovskis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Cooper 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Graves 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Smart * 37 5-12 3-5 8-8 8 5 1 0 3 21 20 -
S. Mays * 36 6-11 1-3 5-7 8 3 1 1 3 18 17 -
C. Manning Jr. * 32 1-4 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 4 1 3 6 -
T. Watford * 26 4-12 0-3 2-4 7 1 0 1 2 10 5 -
D. Days * 21 5-8 2-3 1-1 7 0 0 0 2 13 10 -
E. Williams 31 5-9 1-3 10-12 7 1 1 1 4 21 18 -
J. Bishop IV 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Hyatt 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -

* = starter