Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +9 (88-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner * | 37 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Caleb Fields * | 32 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Frye * | 30 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tayler Mattos * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Michael Laster | 18 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Trey Diggs | 16 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Marlon Sierra | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Swingle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Matiss Kulackovskis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtese Cooper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marshall Graves | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javonte Smart * | 37 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Skylar Mays * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Charles Manning * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Trendon Watford * | 26 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Darius Days * | 21 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Emmitt Williams | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 18 | - |
| James Bishop | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aundre Hyatt | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter