Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +14 (90-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Shackelford * | 38 | 7-19 | 5-14 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 4 | - |
| Kira Lewis * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Alex Reese * | 29 | 7-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Galin Smith * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| John Petty | 33 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jaylen Forbes | 14 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Javian Davis | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Smart * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Trendon Watford * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Skylar Mays * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Emmitt Williams * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Darius Days * | 16 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Marlon Taylor | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Aundre Hyatt | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter