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2020-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 65.5% 34.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 66.5% 33.5% -3.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% -
Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Maxey * 37 5-15 1-4 3-4 4 4 0 1 3 14 5 -
I. Quickley * 37 7-12 2-4 5-6 4 5 3 0 1 21 20 -
A. Hagans * 31 4-8 2-4 1-2 3 4 0 1 3 11 8 -
N. Richards * 31 5-8 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 6 1 13 16 -
EJ Montgomery * 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 4 5 -
N. Sestina 27 4-8 3-4 0-0 8 1 1 1 3 11 11 -
K. Brooks Jr. 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
J. Juzang 9 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smart * 36 3-10 0-3 1-2 7 7 1 0 2 7 10 -
S. Mays * 35 7-12 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 17 7 -
T. Watford * 30 3-13 1-4 3-4 5 0 2 1 1 10 4 -
E. Williams * 28 1-6 0-0 3-6 5 1 1 1 2 5 5 -
D. Days * 27 5-14 1-3 2-2 11 0 2 0 3 13 9 -
M. Taylor 27 3-6 1-3 6-8 6 1 0 0 0 13 14 -
C. Manning Jr. 17 4-5 3-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 11 9 -

* = starter