Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keandre Cook * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Tulio Da Silva * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Tyrik Dixon * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Lamont West * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kabir Mohammed * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Hall | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Ford Cooper | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ja'Monta Black | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darian Scott | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Isiaih Mosley | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Spencer Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ross Owens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Mays * | 39 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Emmitt Williams * | 38 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Javonte Smart * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Darius Days * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Trendon Watford * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Charles Manning | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Aundre Hyatt | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter