Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.5% | 88.5% | +11.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +6 (88-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smart * | 40 | 6-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| S. Mays * | 39 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| T. Watford * | 29 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| E. Williams * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Days * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Taylor | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Manning Jr. | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Hyatt | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lewis Jr. * | 36 | 10-18 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| J. Petty Jr. * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Shackelford * | 30 | 9-18 | 5-13 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 9 | - |
| H. Jones * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 21 | - |
| A. Reese * | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| G. Smith | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| J. Bolden | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J. Forbes | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Davis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter