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Illinois Fighting Illini

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Illinois Fighting Illini
Program History
Coach: John Groce

2016 Team Stats (10 games)

66.5
PPG
76.9
Opp
-7.1
Margin
43.2%
FG%
35.8%
3P%
75.8%
FT%
27.6
RPG
13.0
APG
10.5
TO
72.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1787 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1479 (#55) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +39.0 (#19) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.166 (#85) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -26.1 More → 0.056 (#87) NetEff -26.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.415 (#73) AdjNet -3.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.413 (#73) AdjNet -3.0

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-15 vs North Dakota State Bison W 80 - 74
2015-11-23 vs Chicago State Cougars W 82 - 79
2015-12-19 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 91 - 79
2016-01-07 @ Michigan State Spartans L 54 - 79
2016-01-10 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 84 - 70
2016-01-19 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 69 - 103
2016-02-07 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 65 - 77
2016-02-25 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 47 - 74
2016-03-03 @ Maryland Terrapins L 55 - 81
2016-03-09 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 85 - 52
2016-03-10 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 68 - 66
2016-03-11 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 58 - 89

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Hill M. Hill G 12 32.1 15.3 5.9 3.2 1.2 0.5 2.1 9.1 15.1 -31 -3.4 -3.1 42.2 31.8 79.6 1.16 70.5 45.4
M. Thorne Jr. M. Thorne Jr. C 3 21.7 14.0 8.7 0.3 0.0 1.0 1.7 5.7 16.7 -6 -1.2 -1.3 52.9 0 60.0 0.97 81.4 52.9
J. Coleman-Lands J. Coleman-Lands G 12 28.5 12.2 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.2 1.1 8.1 7.0 - - - 41.2 43.8 83.3 - 71.9 55.7
K. Nunn K. Nunn G 9 31.8 11.7 4.1 2.0 1.1 0.2 1.7 9.2 8.2 -10 -1.4 -1.5 44.6 33.3 87.5 0.94 60.7 53.0
M. Morgan M. Morgan C 12 21.5 9.6 4.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.9 6.2 7.8 -29 -4.1 -5.8 58.7 0 76.9 0.97 66.5 58.7
M. Finke M. Finke F 12 19.1 7.1 3.2 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.8 4.9 6.2 1 0.1 0.2 33.9 34.3 75.0 0.87 69.9 44.1
L. Black L. Black F 1 15.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 - - - 66.7 0 50.0 -0.32 64.4 66.7
A. Jordan A. Jordan G 11 11.5 4.0 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.8 3.9 -37 -7.4 -14.8 45.0 50.0 83.3 0.15 97.2 62.5
K. Lewis K. Lewis G 12 22.4 3.6 1.5 2.6 0.8 0.1 1.3 3.4 3.8 -7 -0.8 -1.0 34.1 12.5 85.7 1.0 48.8 35.4
A. Austin A. Austin G 12 8.4 2.1 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.8 - - - 46.2 28.6 0.0 0.18 90.1 53.8
D.J. Williams D.J. Williams G 12 12.6 1.9 1.9 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.9 40 2.7 2.7 36.4 0.0 100.0 1.52 49.3 36.4
J. Tate J. Tate G 10 16.3 1.7 1.0 2.8 0.6 0.2 1.1 1.6 3.6 - - - 25.0 20.0 75.0 0.09 43.5 28.1
C. Liss C. Liss F 4 2.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG