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2016-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -
Log Adjusted 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +33 (85-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Sharp * 37 2-7 0-3 2-3 1 1 0 0 2 6 -1 -0.6
C. Buggs * 36 5-9 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 12 5 -14.3
A. Gilbert * 36 5-10 1-3 0-0 4 1 3 1 3 11 7 -14.7
B. Konate * 34 3-8 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 8 7 -1.1
J. Murphy * 34 3-14 0-1 3-5 9 3 2 0 5 9 4 -14.0
M. Lukashewich 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -13.2
D. Haugh 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
G. Diedhiou 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1.9

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Coleman-Lands * 28 4-7 3-4 2-2 4 1 2 0 0 13 13 -
K. Nunn * 27 6-8 3-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 15 14 +2.4
M. Hill * 26 5-11 1-4 3-4 6 3 3 0 3 14 12 +16.7
M. Morgan * 19 4-7 0-0 1-1 4 2 1 0 1 9 8 +2.4
K. Lewis * 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 4 3 +16.4
J. Tate 25 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 3 7 -
M. Finke 19 6-10 5-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 17 11 +13.9
A. Austin 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 0 5 +15.1
D.J. Williams 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
A. Jordan 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
C. Liss 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter