Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -12 (65-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Clemmons * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -9.0 |
| J. Uthoff * | 35 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 17 | -8.7 |
| P. Jok * | 31 | 7-18 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | -8.6 |
| M. Gesell * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Woodbury * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 20 | -8.4 |
| D. Uhl | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -9.3 |
| A. Wagner | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.9 |
| N. Baer | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Ellingson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.9 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | +12.9 |
| K. Lewis * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +12.7 |
| M. Morgan * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +12.6 |
| K. Nunn * | 26 | 2-13 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | +12.6 |
| J. Coleman-Lands * | 26 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| M. Finke | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +10.0 |
| D.J. Williams | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Tate | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Jordan | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Austin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter