Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.4% | 97.6% | +26.1 | ✓ (23.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +3 (82-79). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trayvon Palmer * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Kieran Woods * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Elliott Cole * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Jawad Adekoya * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Quron Davis * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Madrid-Andrews | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Fred Sims | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Montana Byrd | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joshua Batson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Hill * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 26 | - |
| Alex Austin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Coleman-Lands * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Mike Thorne * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Khalid Lewis * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Michael Finke | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Jordan | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D.J. Williams | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Maverick Morgan | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter