Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✗ (32.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -27 (47-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Ferrell * | 36 | 11-18 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| N. Zeisloft * | 32 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +15.3 |
| C. Hartman * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +15.5 |
| T. Bryant * | 26 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| T. Williams * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Morgan | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.3 |
| O. Anunoby | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Bielfeldt | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1.3 |
| H. Niego | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +15.0 |
| R. Burton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Coleman-Lands * | 35 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| K. Nunn * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | -13.2 |
| M. Morgan * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Hill * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -13.3 |
| K. Lewis * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -13.1 |
| D.J. Williams | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Finke | 11 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Jordan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Tate | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Austin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter