Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +31 (89-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Nunn * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +8.0 |
| M. Hill * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +12.1 |
| J. Coleman-Lands * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Morgan * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 9 | -4.4 |
| K. Lewis * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.3 |
| J. Tate | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Finke | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -4.5 |
| D.J. Williams | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Jordan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Austin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Liss | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Davis * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Swanigan * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| P.J. Thompson * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| V. Edwards * | 17 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Hammons * | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| R. Cline | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -6.0 |
| D. Mathias | 20 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +14.4 |
| I. Haas | 18 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +8.2 |
| J. Hill | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| K. Stephens | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -6.6 |
| J. Taylor | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Toyra | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Eifert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter