Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Swanigan * | 25 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Hammons * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| R. Davis * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +5.4 |
| V. Edwards * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| J. Hill * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +4.3 |
| P.J. Thompson | 24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Stephens | 23 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -3.8 |
| D. Mathias | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -3.0 |
| R. Cline | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2.3 |
| I. Haas | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -3.3 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Austin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Hill * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-2 | 10-14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 26 | - |
| K. Nunn * | 34 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| M. Finke * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -3.6 |
| J. Tate * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4.2 |
| A. Jordan * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Lewis | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +5.2 |
| J. Coleman-Lands | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Morgan | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +5.2 |
| D.J. Williams | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter