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Idaho State Bengals

Also known as: Idaho State Bengals
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1192 (#227) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1156 (#262) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1002 (#181) HCA +147 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 868 (#576) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +15.5 (#336) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +22.3 (#28) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -2.7 (#356) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.560 (#144) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 66.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 64.3 More → 0.375 (#541) AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.801 (#84) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.336 (#408) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.734 (#108) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.321 (#440) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1073 (#149) RD 350 | GP 1
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 30 More → 750 (#578) RD 150 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Morgan M. Morgan G 30 32.0 12.0 3.4 2.4 1.3 0.0 3.2 0.7 15.4 20 0.6 1.4 33.3 25.0 80.0 0.34 710.6 40.5
C. Hansen C. Hansen F 30 32.1 11.4 3.5 1.1 1.3 0.3 1.0 0.3 16.4 -113 -3.8 -5.1 44.4 37.5 100.0 0.2 1319.4 61.1
T. Sanchez T. Sanchez G 29 33.5 10.3 3.3 3.9 1.6 0.0 2.7 0.7 15.7 -141 -4.9 -5.9 40.0 40.0 100.0 0.07 635.6 50.0
A. Hatchett A. Hatchett G 28 31.4 9.2 4.7 1.6 0.9 0.1 1.9 0.2 14.4 -172 -6.4 -8.4 80.0 0 50.0 -0.59 1508.2 80.0
N. Walters N. Walters - 30 18.9 5.1 3.6 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.2 9.4 -99 -3.3 -6.7 40.0 0 0.0 -0.21 1415.4 40.0
S. Baldwin S. Baldwin G 20 13.2 3.9 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.1 5.2 -43 -2.3 -6.3 0.0 0 0 -0.01 3850.0 0.0
T. Martin T. Martin G 1 20.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.46 0 0
J. Kusmieruk J. Kusmieruk C 17 6.4 2.3 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 3.9 -25 -1.5 -11.6 100.0 0 100.0 -0.42 1037.2 100.0
N. Ezenwa N. Ezenwa - 30 18.0 2.3 2.6 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.9 0.1 5.2 -128 -4.4 -9.1 25.0 50.0 66.7 -0.68 527.1 37.5
A. Harrington A. Harrington - 3 5.7 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Preh A. Preh C 29 16.2 2.0 2.3 0.2 0.3 1.2 0.5 0.0 5.5 -119 -4.4 -10.0 0.0 0 0 -0.59 2950.0 0.0
N. Mason N. Mason G 25 9.4 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.2 -33 -1.0 -2.4 11.1 12.5 100.0 -0.41 197.4 16.7
D. Kostur D. Kostur F 16 5.3 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.4 -2 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 0 0 0.24 650.0 0.0
B. Hosman B. Hosman - 3 1.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
G. Jones G. Jones - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG