Idaho State Bengals
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1192 (#227) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1156 (#262) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1002 (#181) | HCA +147 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 868 (#576) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.5 (#336) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.3 (#28) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.7 (#356) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.560 (#144) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.375 (#541) | AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 64.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.801 (#84) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.336 (#408) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.734 (#108) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.321 (#440) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1073 (#149) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 750 (#578) | RD 150 | GP 30 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Morgan
|
G | 30 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 15.4 | 20 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 0.34 | 710.6 | 40.5 |
C. Hansen
|
F | 30 | 32.1 | 11.4 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 16.4 | -113 | -3.8 | -5.1 | 44.4 | 37.5 | 100.0 | 0.2 | 1319.4 | 61.1 |
T. Sanchez
|
G | 29 | 33.5 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 15.7 | -141 | -4.9 | -5.9 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.07 | 635.6 | 50.0 |
A. Hatchett
|
G | 28 | 31.4 | 9.2 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 14.4 | -172 | -6.4 | -8.4 | 80.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.59 | 1508.2 | 80.0 |
N. Walters
|
- | 30 | 18.9 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 9.4 | -99 | -3.3 | -6.7 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.21 | 1415.4 | 40.0 |
S. Baldwin
|
G | 20 | 13.2 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 5.2 | -43 | -2.3 | -6.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.01 | 3850.0 | 0.0 |
T. Martin
|
G | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.46 | 0 | 0 |
J. Kusmieruk
|
C | 17 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 3.9 | -25 | -1.5 | -11.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.42 | 1037.2 | 100.0 |
N. Ezenwa
|
- | 30 | 18.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 5.2 | -128 | -4.4 | -9.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.68 | 527.1 | 37.5 |
A. Harrington
|
- | 3 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
A. Preh
|
C | 29 | 16.2 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -119 | -4.4 | -10.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 2950.0 | 0.0 |
N. Mason
|
G | 25 | 9.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.2 | -33 | -1.0 | -2.4 | 11.1 | 12.5 | 100.0 | -0.41 | 197.4 | 16.7 |
D. Kostur
|
F | 16 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 650.0 | 0.0 |
B. Hosman
|
- | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
G. Jones
|
- | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG