Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +52 (87-35). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Sanchez * | 36 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -25.9 |
| Melvin Morgan * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | -28.1 |
| Nnamdi Ezenwa * | 34 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Chris Hansen * | 14 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | -15.6 |
| Jakub Kusmieruk * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Andre Hatchett | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | -17.6 |
| Neveij Walters | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ayibakuro Preh | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -13.5 |
| Nick Mason | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -15.8 |
| Dejan Kostur | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.3 |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Singler * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | +24.2 |
| Arsalan Kazemi * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 21 | +18.4 |
| Tony Woods * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +15.4 |
| Dominic Artis * | 21 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +20.2 |
| Damyean Dotson * | 16 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +7.9 |
| Carlos Emory | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +19.6 |
| Ben Carter | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | +19.3 |
| Willie Moore | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +11.1 |
| Johnathan Loyd | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +12.6 |
| Austin Kuemper | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +7.8 |
| Coleton Baker | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +6.5 |
| Nicholas Lucenti | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +6.4 |
* = starter