Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks +17 (69-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hansen * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -8.8 |
| Andre Hatchett * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | -9.2 |
| Neveij Walters * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Melvin Morgan * | 20 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | -11.8 |
| Tomas Sanchez | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | -12.3 |
| Nnamdi Ezenwa | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Sherrod Baldwin | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Ayibakuro Preh | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Jakub Kusmieruk | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Nick Mason | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Webb * | 35 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 21 | +10.4 |
| Troy Huff * | 34 | 9-20 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | +14.2 |
| Aaron Anderson * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +14.8 |
| Josh Schuler * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +9.1 |
| Mitch Wilmer * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +12.3 |
| Lenny Antwi | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8.0 |
| Jordan Allard | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -4.7 |
| Brandon Brekke | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5.2 |
| Shane Benton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.8 |
* = starter