🐻⬇️🏀

George Fox

Also known as: George Fox
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1054 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1048 (#249) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1019 (#295) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +8.0 (#108) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +8.5 (#223) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.508 (#445) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +26.3 More → 0.976 (#108) NetEff +26.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.2 More → 0.571 (#338) NetEff +2.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.4 More → 0.675 (#318) AdjNet +6.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.1 More → 0.673 (#318) AdjNet +6.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 57.9 More → 0.586 (#312) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 57.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.635 (#191) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 56.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.660 (#251) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.662 (#249) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 21 More → 1039 (#268) RD 103 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-13 vs Corban L 72 - 75
2025-11-19 vs Warner Pacific W 67 - 55
2025-11-21 @ Chapman L 60 - 72
2025-11-22 @ Whittier W 66 - 64
2025-11-24 @ Redlands W 62 - 61
2025-12-10 vs Seattle Pacific L 50 - 69
2025-12-14 @ Mary Hardin-Baylor W 48 - 47
2025-12-15 @ East Tex. Baptist L 46 - 52
2025-12-17 @ Howard Payne L 52 - 59
2026-01-16 vs Whitworth W 58 - 44
2026-01-17 vs Whitman L 66 - 79
2026-01-20 vs Pacific (OR) W 63 - 51
2026-01-23 @ Linfield L 69 - 74
2026-01-27 @ Willamette W 65 - 41
2026-01-30 vs Puget Sound L 56 - 77
2026-01-31 vs Pacific Lutheran W 75 - 45
2026-02-07 vs Lewis & Clark W 75 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hanne Hopkins - 15 31.4 13.1 5.6 4.1 1.2 0.1 3.5 9.7 11.0 7 0.4 4.3 46.9 37.5 86.4 2.41 56.3 47.9
Kylie Ritter - 17 26.9 11.1 6.3 1.2 1.1 0.7 2.0 10.6 7.8 -5 -0.3 -1.5 37.6 26.3 78.7 -0.54 46.6 41.7
Mia Skoro - 15 27.5 9.9 2.7 0.9 0.9 0.7 1.9 8.5 4.7 6 0.4 3.5 44.5 42.9 69.0 -1.08 52.9 50.4
Sophia Hardy - 17 27.5 7.8 4.4 1.2 1.2 0.2 1.6 7.5 5.6 22 1.2 7.8 43.0 17.9 80.0 -1.2 48.6 45.7
Tara Ushiro - 17 25.8 6.8 2.0 0.9 1.2 0.1 1.7 6.4 2.9 32 1.8 11.2 32.4 25.0 78.0 3.47 45.6 38.4
Paige Macduff - 15 21.9 5.7 4.7 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.3 4.6 6.3 42 2.6 18.9 50.7 14.3 40.5 1.77 50.4 51.4
Bella Arrisgado - 17 18.1 4.3 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.6 3.5 2.8 18 1.0 8.4 45.0 30.8 91.7 -1.35 55.9 51.7
Addison Dippel - 8 13.9 4.0 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.9 3.5 1.8 23 2.3 10.6 46.4 33.3 40.0 1.91 49.4 50.0
Emma Boehm - 16 10.3 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.0 1.5 2.1 43 2.5 27.8 50.0 50.0 55.6 -0.66 57.2 56.2
Madeline Schumacher - 14 9.7 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.1 37 2.3 24.7 39.1 28.6 66.7 3.43 49.5 43.5
Sophie Carbajal - 8 7.5 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.8 2.5 0.5 8 1.3 8.2 40.0 0.0 0.0 -0.39 39.1 40.0
Maddie Schumacher - 2 9.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 2.0 37 2.3 24.7 0.0 0 50.0 3.43 26.6 0.0
Laney Snelling - 6 8.9 0.2 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.2 1.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 5.1 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG