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Willamette

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Willamette
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 948 (#424) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 933 (#423) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 957 (#554) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +1.2 (#208) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +1.3 (#351) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.224 (#568) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.3 More → 0.140 (#474) NetEff -14.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.0 More → 0.471 (#389) AdjNet -1.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.2 More → 0.466 (#387) AdjNet -1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.479 (#383) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 65.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 59.1 More → 0.517 (#362) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 59.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.434 (#427) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.451 (#417) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 24 More → 953 (#378) RD 99 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ Portland - Incomplete score
2025-11-07 vs Warner Pacific - Incomplete score
2025-11-11 @ Portland St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Bushnell - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 vs Western Ore. - Incomplete score
2025-11-23 vs Walla Walla - Incomplete score
2025-11-28 @ UC Santa Cruz - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ UC Santa Cruz - Incomplete score
2025-12-14 vs Oregon Tech - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Puget Sound - Incomplete score
2026-01-13 @ Linfield - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 vs Lewis & Clark - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Pacific (OR) - Incomplete score
2026-01-27 vs George Fox - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 vs Whitman - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Whitworth - Incomplete score
2026-02-06 @ Puget Sound - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Pacific Lutheran - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kaitlin Imai - 15 29.2 11.9 2.6 2.8 1.9 0.7 2.6 11.5 5.8 -3 -0.1 -0.6 38.4 26.2 69.8 0.76 46.6 43.0
Riley Walden - 15 29.9 11.8 6.3 1.3 0.8 0.3 2.5 11.2 6.9 -7 -0.3 -1.4 41.7 37.5 62.5 -0.62 50.6 49.7
Gabby Wilson - 6 25.5 7.3 2.0 2.5 0.8 0.0 0.7 7.7 4.3 -21 -1.6 -5.3 34.8 24.0 100.0 0.58 45.2 41.3
Gabbie Wilson - 9 24.4 6.4 2.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 6.7 2.1 -21 -1.6 -5.3 36.7 33.3 75.0 -0.64 45.7 43.3
Emma Floyd - 15 25.8 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.1 6.0 2.8 -5 -0.2 -1.1 32.2 32.9 66.7 0.8 46.4 45.6
Addie Hiler - 13 12.6 5.5 3.8 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.1 4.6 5.3 22 1.2 13.5 46.7 45.5 50.0 0.24 55.1 55.0
Peyton Gardner - 15 23.0 5.4 2.5 1.9 0.9 0.5 1.7 6.6 2.9 11 0.5 2.7 31.3 17.4 57.7 2.6 36.7 33.3
Mattie Thompson - 13 10.0 3.5 3.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.9 3.8 -2 -0.1 -1.4 50.0 0 70.0 0.4 53.1 50.0
Alexis Dockter - 14 12.2 3.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 4.4 0.2 -37 -1.8 -18.4 27.4 23.1 100.0 -1.11 37.4 34.7
Daisy Boling-Schmidt - 15 17.2 2.8 5.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.6 2.9 5.3 -24 -1.2 -6.9 34.1 0.0 66.7 -2.47 40.4 34.1
Leia Mata - 14 11.2 2.0 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.1 36 2.0 29.2 36.0 42.9 100.0 2.19 52.3 48.0
Aasia Williams - 10 7.0 1.6 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 2.2 -6 -0.4 -7.1 45.5 20.0 50.0 -3.93 51.9 50.0
Karsyn Ripplinger - 8 5.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.5 -22 -2.2 -104.8 28.6 66.7 100.0 -3.37 50.8 42.9
Syd Shoemaker - 5 3.5 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 - - - 25.0 0 50.0 -0.83 30.7 25.0
Jordyn Reed - 5 2.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 -0.4 -1 -0.2 -19.2 20.0 0.0 33.3 - 23.7 20.0
Jaydin Lutu - 2 4.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG