Whitworth
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 782 (#474) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 808 (#531) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 882 (#629) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.4 (#228) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.5 (#418) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.206 (#582) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.125 (#478) | NetEff -13.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.315 (#443) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.309 (#440) | AdjNet -6.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.397 (#442) | AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 65.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.415 (#520) | AdjO 55.1 | AdjD 58.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.327 (#508) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.332 (#510) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 791 (#499) | RD 109 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wis.-Platteville | L | 53 - 58 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 55 - 85 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Northwest (WA) | W | 72 - 60 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2025-12-22 | vs | Albion | L | 49 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Linfield | L | 39 - 59 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | George Fox | L | 44 - 58 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lewis & Clark | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Puget Sound | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Pacific (OR) | W | 69 - 44 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Willamette | L | 46 - 60 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Whitman | L | 37 - 47 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Linfield | L | 53 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashlyn Peterson | - | 16 | 36.1 | 17.6 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 4.1 | 16.9 | 4.9 | -27 | -1.5 | -6.0 | 37.4 | 35.5 | 77.4 | 0.09 | 48.1 | 44.6 |
| Alex Goetz | - | 7 | 29.5 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 10.7 | 4.4 | - | - | - | 34.7 | 17.2 | 81.2 | - | 42.7 | 38.0 |
| Addyson Gallatin | - | 16 | 29.3 | 9.6 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 6.6 | 47 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 40.1 | 29.2 | 65.4 | 2.59 | 46.8 | 44.7 |
| CC Size | - | 16 | 23.9 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 19 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 40.4 | 28.9 | 85.7 | 0.34 | 51.8 | 47.3 |
| Ava DePew | - | 15 | 32.3 | 4.9 | 7.7 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 6.1 | 9.5 | -33 | -1.8 | -7.8 | 30.8 | 32.4 | 87.5 | -2.11 | 39.1 | 36.8 |
| Mikiah Dunham | - | 16 | 25.7 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 3.8 | -107 | -5.6 | -26.5 | 41.3 | 0.0 | 34.8 | -2.3 | 41.0 | 41.3 |
| Ashlyn Neilsen | - | 16 | 12.5 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 3.0 | -52 | -2.7 | -26.2 | 38.5 | 32.0 | 52.9 | -1.89 | 50.6 | 48.7 |
| Brenna Gilchrist | - | 15 | 12.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | -29 | -1.5 | -13.8 | 31.4 | 21.1 | 75.0 | 0.47 | 41.5 | 37.1 |
| Ali Bush | - | 13 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 1.0 | -33 | -1.9 | -26.9 | 35.5 | 37.5 | 0 | -1.29 | 40.3 | 40.3 |
| Bri Talley | - | 3 | 19.0 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Ayanna Tobeck | - | 12 | 8.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | -19 | -1.4 | -12.5 | 31.8 | 14.3 | 40.0 | -0.16 | 35.1 | 34.1 |
| Taylor Reed | - | 5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.5 | 24.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.13 | 86.8 | 100.0 |
| Peyton Size | - | 3 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 6 | 1.5 | 23.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Brenna Gilchrest | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brianna Rasmussen | - | 2 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 7 | 2.3 | 51.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.96 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG