Linfield
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1125 (#46) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1260 (#26) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1206 (#24) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.4 (#49) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +17.0 (#140) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.700 (#366) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.909 (#150) | NetEff +16.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.808 (#268) | AdjNet +12.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.808 (#268) | AdjNet +12.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.658 (#271) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 56.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.796 (#64) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 50.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.854 (#95) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.854 (#94) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1305 (#23) | RD 119 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Northwest (WA) | W | 81 - 63 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Concordia (TX) | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Piedmont | W | 68 - 47 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | East Tex. Baptist | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Pacific (OR) | W | 91 - 64 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Wis.-Oshkosh | L | 32 - 57 |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Simpson (CA) | W | 68 - 39 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Corban | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | McMurry | W | 54 - 51 |
| 2025-12-22 | @ | Knox | W | 82 - 59 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Whitman | W | 61 - 52 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Whitworth | W | 59 - 39 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Willamette | W | 64 - 54 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Puget Sound | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Pacific Lutheran | W | 59 - 37 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | George Fox | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Lewis & Clark | W | 76 - 42 |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Pacific (OR) | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Whitworth | W | 76 - 53 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Whitman | L | 53 - 58 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solt, Amelia | - | 1 | 33.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Eve Burke | - | 20 | 24.9 | 11.1 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 123 | 6.5 | 39.3 | 44.7 | 38.8 | 79.6 | 1.24 | 57.0 | 52.4 |
| Hoekema, Tana | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 51.2 | 37.5 |
| Tana Hoekema | - | 15 | 17.7 | 9.5 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 7.1 | -5 | -0.3 | -3.7 | 41.6 | 16.7 | 76.7 | -2.8 | 50.9 | 42.5 |
| Amelia Solt | - | 19 | 26.0 | 8.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 169 | 8.9 | 58.6 | 35.5 | 30.8 | 73.9 | 2.56 | 47.5 | 45.3 |
| Allie Mead | - | 19 | 29.7 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 8.7 | 8.4 | 150 | 7.9 | 48.1 | 41.0 | 17.2 | 68.3 | 2.75 | 45.9 | 42.5 |
| Miki Vermeulen | - | 20 | 30.2 | 8.1 | 6.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7.0 | 10.1 | 169 | 8.9 | 52.2 | 40.3 | 29.6 | 70.2 | 2.17 | 50.4 | 46.0 |
| Skylar Willey | - | 19 | 19.3 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 140 | 7.4 | 49.9 | 59.6 | 0.0 | 75.8 | 3.75 | 63.1 | 59.6 |
| Mead, Allie | - | 1 | 33.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 60.0 | - | 34.3 | 25.0 |
| Willey, Skylar | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Buchanan, Lauren | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Lauren Buchanan | - | 17 | 11.5 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 29 | 1.7 | 30.6 | 34.9 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -1.28 | 49.4 | 47.6 |
| Jordan Roberts | - | 20 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 38 | 2.0 | 41.7 | 42.4 | 29.4 | 54.5 | -1.76 | 48.8 | 46.6 |
| Jayden Ray | - | 19 | 11.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 54 | 2.8 | 42.0 | 43.1 | 16.7 | 63.2 | 0.86 | 48.0 | 44.1 |
| Logan Roberts | - | 5 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -4 | -1.0 | -16.3 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.93 | 67.6 | 62.5 |
| Sydney Newby | - | 9 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 19 | 2.1 | 71.0 | 31.6 | 0 | 80.0 | -0.57 | 42.7 | 31.6 |
| Madison Barter | - | 3 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 3.3 | -1 | -0.3 | -2.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.64 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Dylan Cheney | - | 4 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.8 | 42.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.74 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Natalie Rosetti | - | 19 | 8.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 17 | 0.9 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.32 | 35.1 | 24.0 |
| Jadyn Harell | - | 12 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | -5 | -0.5 | -22.9 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 0.07 | 39.1 | 28.6 |
| Willow Ishibashi-To | - | 5 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 | 24.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.4 | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Evelyn Melis | - | 3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 8 | 2.7 | 112.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.74 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Ella Koebelin | - | 10 | 7.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.8 | -0.1 | -9 | -0.9 | -10.4 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.38 | 17.7 | 11.1 |
| Madison Huntley | - | 3 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | -1 | -0.3 | -14.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.74 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Lauren Quinn | - | 8 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -3.4 | 22.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.33 | 25.3 | 27.8 |
| Mia Thompson | - | 4 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -0.2 | -1 | -0.2 | -14.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.74 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Rosetti, Natalie | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ray, Jayden | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG