Whitman
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1025 (#186) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1089 (#170) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1157 (#53) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.7 (#79) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.0 (#191) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.937 (#212) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.767 (#244) | NetEff +8.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.959 (#161) | AdjNet +27.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.960 (#161) | AdjNet +26.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.811 (#167) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 51.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.732 (#98) | AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 53.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.770 (#152) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.777 (#141) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1190 (#74) | RD 107 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Concordia (TX) | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 49 - 62 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Wis.-Platteville | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Bushnell | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Saint Benedict | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Colorado Col. | L | 39 - 53 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Walla Walla | W | 83 - 38 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Lewis & Clark | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | George Fox | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | W | 89 - 50 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Puget Sound | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Willamette | W | 69 - 60 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Pacific (OR) | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Whitworth | W | 47 - 37 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Linfield | W | 58 - 53 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Morgan | - | 16 | 27.5 | 12.7 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 11.5 | 9.2 | 86 | 4.8 | 17.1 | 42.9 | 35.9 | 73.8 | 0.88 | 50.1 | 46.7 |
| Emma Lena Baker | - | 16 | 23.1 | 10.9 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 135 | 7.5 | 30.4 | 44.8 | 14.3 | 68.8 | 4.65 | 51.8 | 45.1 |
| Morgan Montgomery | - | 16 | 28.8 | 9.6 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 6.4 | 7.2 | 111 | 6.2 | 19.0 | 45.1 | 44.4 | 79.0 | 2.11 | 59.2 | 51.0 |
| Briana Andrade | - | 14 | 28.0 | 8.7 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 9.0 | 5.9 | 119 | 7.4 | 30.9 | 37.3 | 23.3 | 77.8 | 6.21 | 44.2 | 40.1 |
| Kaella Peters | - | 16 | 22.1 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 4.2 | 42 | 2.3 | 9.7 | 39.4 | 39.6 | 60.0 | -0.66 | 57.0 | 56.7 |
| Jordan Leith | - | 16 | 26.5 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 79 | 4.4 | 15.8 | 39.0 | 34.3 | 81.8 | 1.7 | 48.8 | 44.8 |
| Sumi Leavell | - | 16 | 18.1 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 3.9 | -16 | -0.9 | -4.3 | 43.1 | 0.0 | 63.2 | -3.12 | 46.7 | 43.1 |
| Avery Neal | - | 16 | 25.2 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 11 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 30.3 | 19.4 | 52.9 | -0.21 | 36.5 | 34.2 |
| Morgan Hoover | - | 6 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 26 | 2.9 | 151.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.08 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hayden Stilwell | - | 2 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 | -1 | -0.3 | -10.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.37 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Miriam Hutchens | - | 9 | 5.9 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | -17 | -2.1 | -23.7 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.5 | 22.2 | 22.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG