Pacific (OR)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 935 (#353) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1026 (#288) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 900 (#611) | HCA +62 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 818 (#671) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.4 (#104) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.6 (#405) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.5 (#481) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.622 (#390) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.578 (#335) | NetEff +2.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.739 (#301) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.739 (#300) | AdjNet +8.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.618 (#289) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 60.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.430 (#504) | AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 62.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.334 (#587) | AdjO 54.8 | AdjD 62.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.350 (#494) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.245 (#569) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.356 (#498) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.249 (#573) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 840 (#465) | RD 118 | GP 29 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 687 (#544) | RD 155 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Willamette | L | 55 - 65 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Linfield | L | 51 - 61 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Whitworth | L | 44 - 69 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Whitman | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Lewis & Clark | L | 51 - 65 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaade Williams | - | 5 | 26.7 | 11.8 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 13.6 | 2.2 | -68 | -3.1 | -17.7 | 30.9 | 16.0 | 86.7 | -1.55 | 39.5 | 33.8 |
| Lindsay Barden | - | 5 | 30.8 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 9.0 | 5.8 | -101 | -4.6 | -22.6 | 42.2 | 14.3 | 71.4 | -0.56 | 45.8 | 43.3 |
| Sydney Esperanza | - | 5 | 28.2 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 8.6 | 8.8 | -18 | -0.8 | -4.2 | 37.2 | 12.5 | 66.7 | -0.06 | 43.3 | 38.4 |
| Jamysen Yates | - | 5 | 17.3 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.4 | -7 | -0.4 | -3.0 | 44.0 | 44.4 | 63.6 | 3.16 | 55.3 | 52.0 |
| Ava Cook | - | 5 | 25.8 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 4.4 | -70 | -3.2 | -21.3 | 43.5 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -1.37 | 48.2 | 45.7 |
| Brookelynn Burke | - | 5 | 16.8 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 0.8 | -47 | -2.1 | -20.3 | 26.9 | 28.6 | 0 | -2.86 | 38.5 | 38.5 |
| Karina Franco | - | 5 | 27.2 | 3.4 | 5.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 1.8 | -67 | -3.2 | -17.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.96 | 21.0 | 20.0 |
| Camryn Ngo | - | 5 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.29 | 88.9 | 88.9 |
| Kami Carmean | - | 5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -16 | -0.9 | -28.8 | 20.0 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.13 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Baylie Voile | - | 1 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -13 | -1.2 | -34.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.43 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Tiare Arquero | - | 3 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 0.9 | 14.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.78 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Victoria Prochazka | - | 5 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alynn Crooms | - | 1 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Iya- Lin Betteridge | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -0.3 | -10.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.88 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG