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Duquesne Dukes

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

69.0
PPG
80.0
Opp
-11.0
Margin
52.1%
FG%
35.3%
3P%
61.9%
FT%
15.0
RPG
13.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.4
Adj PPG
68.0
Adj Opp PPG
#109
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1107 (#122) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1067 (#125) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 979 (#196) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +5.0 (#104) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +3.9 (#115) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.573 (#126) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.2 More โ†’ 0.697 (#111) AdjNet +7.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.3 More โ†’ 0.698 (#111) AdjNet +7.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 68.0 More โ†’ 0.600 (#109) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 68.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 68.7 More โ†’ 0.527 (#140) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 68.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.594 (#125) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.579 (#129) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 28 More โ†’ 1059 (#129) RD 141 | GP 28

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-09 @ Arizona Wildcats L 59 - 67
2011-11-13 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 84 - 66
2011-11-18 @ District of Columbia Firebirds W 97 - 81
2011-11-19 vs Akron Zips W 81 - 76
2011-11-20 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 68 - 84
2011-11-26 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 84 - 65
2011-11-30 vs Pittsburgh Panthers L 69 - 80
2011-12-03 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 77 - 67
2011-12-06 vs Robert Morris Colonials L 60 - 64
2011-12-10 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 66 - 59
2011-12-17 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 71 - 85
2011-12-21 @ George Mason Patriots W 75 - 64
2011-12-28 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 86 - 76
2011-12-31 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 118 - 72
2012-01-04 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 82 - 84
2012-01-07 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 66 - 52
2012-01-11 @ Xavier Musketeers L 50 - 78
2012-01-14 @ Rhode Island Rams W 78 - 71
2012-01-18 vs UMass Minutemen W 80 - 69
2012-01-28 vs La Salle Explorers L 68 - 71
2012-02-01 @ Dayton Flyers W 83 - 73
2012-02-04 vs Richmond Spiders W 81 - 72
2012-02-15 vs Fordham Rams W 77 - 67
2012-02-18 @ Temple Owls L 59 - 78
2012-02-22 vs Dayton Flyers L 62 - 74
2012-02-25 @ George Washington Colonials L 51 - 56
2012-02-29 @ Charlotte 49ers W 88 - 77
2012-03-03 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 60 - 75
2012-03-06 @ UMass Minutemen L 83 - 92

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B.J. Monteiro B.J. Monteiro G-F 26 31.4 15.7 5.4 2.2 1.1 0.9 1.6 2.1 21.5 19 24 0.8 1.9 45.5 20.0 35.7 1.64 332.7 47.3
Sean Johnson Sean Johnson G 29 26.3 14.2 3.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 1.7 3.0 15.6 17 27 0.6 1.5 39.1 39.3 77.3 1.71 193.7 45.4
T.J. McConnell T.J. McConnell G 29 34.2 11.7 4.4 5.7 2.9 0.3 2.7 2.4 19.8 17 27 0.6 1.5 51.4 55.0 95.2 1.76 213.9 59.3
Eric Evans Eric Evans G 29 25.8 9.6 2.6 2.6 1.1 0.0 1.0 1.6 13.2 -39 27 -1.4 -4.3 43.5 11.8 58.8 -4.71 259.0 45.7
Mike Talley Mike Talley G 29 20.4 7.5 1.2 1.9 0.6 0.0 1.5 1.3 8.3 24 27 0.9 3.9 33.3 23.8 56.2 1.62 204.4 39.7
Andre Marhold Andre Marhold F-C 28 21.6 5.1 4.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 1.2 1.0 9.2 21 25 0.8 2.7 51.9 0 38.5 0.67 217.0 51.9
Kadeem Pantophlet Kadeem Pantophlet F 28 13.5 3.4 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.0 4.7 -21 22 -1.0 -4.2 37.9 41.2 0 -0.51 165.5 50.0
Danny Herrera Danny Herrera F 5 2.8 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.0 2.4 - - - - 0 0 0 0.32 0 0
Mamadou Datt Mamadou Datt F 29 10.6 2.0 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.4 3.2 -5 27 -0.2 -1.6 38.5 0 20.0 -0.87 190.8 38.5
P.J. Torres P.J. Torres - 9 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 2.2 - - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 225.7 50.0
Sam Bott Sam Bott G-F 2 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 0 0.12 0 0
Derrick Martin Derrick Martin - 10 3.3 0.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.6 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 150.0 0.0
Martins Abele Martins Abele C 6 3.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.94 0 0
Rich Piekarski Rich Piekarski - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG