Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -10 (73-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Monteiro * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 29 | - |
| T.J. McConnell * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Andre Marhold * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Eric Evans * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Sean Johnson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Mike Talley | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Mamadou Datt | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kadeem Pantophlet | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Torres | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Martin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 32 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Josh Parker * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Paul Williams | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
* = starter