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2012-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Duquesne Dukes UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.9% 65.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“

Actual: UMass Minutemen +9 (92-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. McConnell * 36 4-11 0-3 4-4 5 6 1 0 3 12 10 -
Sean Johnson * 34 4-15 2-8 2-2 4 3 1 1 2 12 4 -
Eric Evans * 30 7-11 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 16 11 -
B.J. Monteiro * 26 6-13 1-3 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 13 10 -
Andre Marhold * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mike Talley 18 2-7 1-4 3-5 0 2 0 0 1 8 2 -
Kadeem Pantophlet 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
Mamadou Datt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Williams * 37 4-8 0-1 13-14 8 4 1 0 4 21 22 -
J. Morgan * 33 3-8 1-4 3-6 6 2 2 0 1 10 11 -
R. Putney * 30 8-13 3-5 1-2 6 1 1 1 3 20 13 -
T. Vinson * 22 4-7 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 11 6 -
S. Carter * 22 2-5 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
J. Farrell 31 7-14 3-4 3-4 7 9 0 1 2 20 21 -
M. Esho 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
F. Riley 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter