Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +16 (84-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. McConnell * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Sean Johnson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Eric Evans * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B.J. Monteiro * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Andre Marhold * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Mike Talley | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kadeem Pantophlet | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Mamadou Datt | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Martins Abele | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P.J. Torres | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Broekhoff * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 41 | - |
| Matt Kenney * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Erik Buggs * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Van Wijk * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Will Bogan * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jay Harris | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Hrvoje Vucic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tommy Kurth | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter