Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Carter * | 38 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 22 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 28 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 1 | - |
| C. Williams * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | - |
| R. Putney * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Vinson * | 14 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| F. Riley | 25 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| J. Farrell | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Esho | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Hill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. McConnell * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Sean Johnson * | 36 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| B.J. Monteiro * | 34 | 9-22 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Eric Evans * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mike Talley | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Mamadou Datt | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Martin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kadeem Pantophlet | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter