Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | +7.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes +10 (86-76). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Thomas * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Jordon Crawford * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Dee Brown * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Cameron Black * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| A'uston Calhoun | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 33 | - |
| Torian Oglesby | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Chauncey Orr | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jehvon Clarke | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Luke Kraus | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Henderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Craig Sealey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. McConnell * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 32 | - |
| B.J. Monteiro * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 40 | - |
| Kadeem Pantophlet * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Mike Talley * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mamadou Datt * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sean Johnson | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Eric Evans | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Andre Marhold | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter