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Duke

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History
Coach: Mike Krzyzewski

2021 Team Stats (5 games)

72.6
PPG
64.2
Opp
+10.6
Margin
48.0%
FG%
33.9%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
36.6
RPG
15.0
APG
13.6
TO
78.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1643 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1561 (#7) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +44.1 (#4) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.861 (#5) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.2 More → 0.690 (#17) NetEff +7.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.2 More → 0.763 (#22) AdjNet +10.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.3 More → 0.767 (#22) AdjNet +10.3

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-25 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs - Preview
2020-11-28 vs Coppin State Eagles W 81 - 71
2020-12-12 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers - Preview
2020-12-19 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs - Preview
2020-12-29 vs Pittsburgh Panthers - Preview
2021-01-02 @ Florida State Seminoles - Preview
2021-01-09 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 79 - 68
2021-01-12 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 67 - 74
2021-02-20 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 66 - 65
2021-03-09 vs Boston College Eagles W 86 - 51
2021-03-10 @ Louisville Cardinals W 70 - 56
2021-03-11 @ Florida State Seminoles - Preview

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Hurt M. Hurt F 6 33.2 18.0 6.7 1.0 1.0 0.7 1.2 12.2 14.0 - - - 54.8 54.3 64.3 - 68.2 67.8
DJ Steward DJ Steward - 6 32.3 15.7 4.5 2.0 0.8 0.7 1.0 13.3 9.3 - - - 45.0 29.3 66.7 - 54.3 52.5
Jeremy Roach Jeremy Roach - 6 29.0 11.5 2.2 3.0 0.3 0.2 2.0 8.3 6.8 - - - 48.0 37.9 71.4 -0.0 61.4 59.0
J. Johnson J. Johnson - 2 19.5 10.5 9.5 3.0 0.0 2.0 3.5 4.5 17.0 34 3.8 9.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.53 106.3 105.6
Wendell Moore Jr. Wendell Moore Jr. - 6 25.8 7.0 5.3 3.2 0.8 0.0 2.8 7.2 6.3 110 7.9 15.0 37.2 30.8 85.7 1.38 45.6 41.9
M. Williams M. Williams - 6 12.3 6.3 3.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.8 3.8 7.0 2 0.2 0.4 69.6 0 54.5 0.05 68.2 69.6
J. Goldwire J. Goldwire G 6 27.7 5.5 2.3 4.0 2.7 0.3 1.5 5.8 7.5 - - - 37.1 33.3 50.0 - 46.0 45.7
P. Tape P. Tape F 1 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
K. Worthington K. Worthington F 1 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Jaemyn Brakefield Jaemyn Brakefield F 6 14.2 2.7 2.5 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.8 2.8 3.5 - - - 41.2 14.3 33.3 - 43.7 44.1
J. Baker J. Baker - 6 11.3 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.8 2.2 2.2 -44 -4.0 -5.7 38.5 25.0 0 -0.15 46.2 46.2
Henry Coleman Iii Henry Coleman Iii F 5 5.6 1.6 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.0 1.4 2.6 - - - 57.1 0.0 0.0 - 50.8 57.1
M. Savarino M. Savarino G 1 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
M. Buckmire M. Buckmire G 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG