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Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Florida Stat... Spread
Elo 91.7% (#8) 8.3% (#170) -
Bradley-Terry 71.6% (#7) 28.4% (#81) -
Margin 86.1% (#4) 13.9% (#83) Duke Bl... -10.0
Pythagorean 52.4% (#5) 47.6% (#19) -
Efficiency 40.9% (#17) 59.1% (#11) -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.0% (#22) 47.0% (#31) -
Log Adjusted 53.3% (#22) 46.7% (#31) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Duke Blue Devils Florida Stat...
Games 5 18
PPG 72.6 77.1
FG% 48.0% 46.7%
3PT% 33.9% 37.1%
FT% 62.5% 72.7%
RPG 36.6 37.6
APG 15.0 14.2
SPG 7.0 7.2
BPG 5.2 5.3
TOPG 13.6 14.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Duke Blue Devils Florida Stat...
Adj. Off Eff 105.1 104.3
Adj. Def Eff 94.9 95.7
Adj. Net Eff 10.2 8.5

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Duke Blue Devils Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
M. Hurt 18.0 6.7 1.0 1.0 0.7 33.2
DJ Steward 15.7 4.5 2.0 0.8 0.7 32.3
J. Roach 11.5 2.2 3.0 0.3 0.2 29.0
J. Goldwire 5.5 2.3 4.0 2.7 0.3 27.7
W. Moore Jr. 7.0 5.3 3.2 0.8 0.0 25.8

Florida State Seminoles Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
M. Walker 11.7 2.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 28.7
A. Polite 10.8 4.5 1.9 1.5 0.4 26.6
R. Gray 11.7 6.7 2.0 1.3 0.8 26.3
S. Barnes 10.5 4.1 4.4 1.4 0.4 25.3
B. Koprivica 9.4 5.8 0.7 0.2 1.4 19.3