Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +1 (66-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hauser | 36 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| J. Huff | 35 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| C. Morsell | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. McKoy | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Clark * | 38 | 5-15 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| T. Murphy III * | 36 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Coleman III | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Hurt * | 38 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| J. Roach * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| DJ Steward * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Williams * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Brakefield | 29 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Goldwire | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J. Baker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter