🐻⬇️🏀

Charleston Southern Buccaneers 3-18
@
2020-12-12
Duke Blue Devils 13-11

Model Predictions

Model Charleston S... Duke Blue Devils Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.2% (#337) 98.8% (#41) Duke Bl... -30.0 56-86
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 7.5% (#338) 92.5% (#115) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 0.5% (#332) 99.5% (#42) Duke Bl... -29.4 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 15.0% (#324) 85.0% (#82) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#329) 99.0% (#41) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#329) 99.0% (#41) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 8.2% (#328) 91.8% (#44) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Charleston S... Duke Blue Devils
Games 19 20
PPG 64.7 74.6
FG% 40.0% 46.1%
3PT% 30.6% 33.3%
FT% 71.6% 68.8%
RPG 36.3 35.7
APG 10.5 16.3
SPG 5.8 7.9
BPG 3.8 4.8
TOPG 16.5 13.1

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Charleston S... Duke Blue Devils
Adj. Off Eff 90.0 108.9
Adj. Def Eff 110.0 91.1
Adj. Net Eff -20.1 17.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Charleston Southe... Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Phlandrous Fleming Jr. 20.1 7.4 2.3 1.8 0.9 34.2
Emorie Knox 6.3 2.4 2.6 1.3 0.0 27.6
Sean Price 10.1 5.2 1.9 1.3 0.5 27.6
Ja'Quavian Florence 10.3 4.4 1.2 0.3 0.4 26.8
Ty Jones 6.4 3.6 3.0 1.8 0.2 25.8

Duke Blue Devils Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Matt Hurt 18.5 6.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 32.7
DJ Steward 13.1 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.6 31.2
Jordan Goldwire 5.9 2.8 4.0 2.3 0.1 28.9
Wendell Moore Jr. 9.1 4.5 2.7 1.3 0.2 27.3
Jeremy Roach 8.4 2.2 2.8 0.7 0.0 27.0