Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.3% | 10.7% | -11.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -14 (56-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Coleman III | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| DJ Steward * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Hurt * | 36 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| M. Williams * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 30 | - |
| J. Roach * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Goldwire | 23 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Baker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Brakefield | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 39 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| S. Williamson * | 27 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Withers * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Q. Slazinski * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| JJ Traynor | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Nickelberry | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Davis | 11 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| C. Minlend | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| G. Wiznitzer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter