🐻⬇️🏀

Duke Blue Devils

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils
Program History

2013 Team Stats (24 games)

72.9
PPG
51.2
Opp
+21.6
Margin
44.0%
FG%
36.9%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
39.3
RPG
15.0
APG
16.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.6
Adj PPG
45.7
Adj Opp PPG
#4
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1631 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1486 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +72 elo More → 1233 (#5) HCA +72 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +33.0 (#4) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +29.3 (#4) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.975 (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +52.1 More → 0.998 (#4) AdjNet +52.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +53.3 More → 0.998 (#4) AdjNet +53.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 45.7 More → 0.943 (#4) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 45.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 51.1 More → 0.863 (#4) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 51.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.969 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.963 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 34 More → 1483 (#4) RD 103 | GP 34

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-17 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 84 - 45
2012-11-18 vs Iona Gaels W 100 - 31
2012-11-23 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 90 - 45
2012-11-25 @ Xavier Musketeers W 82 - 59
2012-11-28 @ Michigan Wolverines W 71 - 54
2012-12-02 vs California Golden Bears W 77 - 63
2012-12-06 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 85 - 52
2012-12-22 @ USC Trojans W 75 - 60
2012-12-30 vs Monmouth Hawks W 73 - 32
2013-01-03 @ NC State Wolfpack W 67 - 57
2013-01-06 @ Boston College Eagles W 90 - 53
2013-01-10 vs Clemson Tigers W 82 - 45
2013-01-13 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 73 - 44
2013-01-16 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 58 - 26
2013-01-21 @ UConn Huskies L 49 - 79
2013-01-24 @ Clemson Tigers W 60 - 46
2013-01-27 vs Boston College Eagles W 80 - 56
2013-01-31 vs Miami Hurricanes W 82 - 43
2013-02-03 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 84 - 63
2013-02-08 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 62 - 41
2013-02-11 vs Maryland Terrapins W 71 - 56
2013-02-14 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 77 - 33
2013-02-17 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 81 - 70
2013-02-22 vs Florida State Seminoles W 61 - 50
2013-02-24 @ Maryland Terrapins W 75 - 59
2013-02-28 @ Miami Hurricanes L 65 - 69
2013-03-03 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 65 - 58
2013-03-08 vs NC State Wolfpack W 79 - 65
2013-03-09 vs Florida State Seminoles W 72 - 66
2013-03-10 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 92 - 73
2013-03-24 vs Hampton Lady Pirates W 67 - 51
2013-03-26 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls W 68 - 59
2013-03-31 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 53 - 45
2013-04-02 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 76 - 87

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
E. Williams E. Williams C 20 0.0 15.3 7.8 1.2 1.2 3.0 2.4 12.1 14.2 486 30 16.2 23.8 49.0 0.0 70.3 4.47 53.8 49.0
C. Gray C. Gray G 17 0.0 12.5 4.5 5.1 3.2 0.2 2.1 9.9 13.3 487 21 23.2 32.8 40.8 36.1 89.7 6.55 53.3 44.7
Haley Peters Haley Peters F 24 0.0 12.2 8.0 1.7 1.2 0.6 2.9 10.5 10.2 475 30 15.8 23.0 48.8 44.7 72.5 4.15 54.2 52.2
T. Liston T. Liston G 18 0.0 12.0 6.1 1.6 1.5 0.1 2.1 10.4 8.7 525 30 17.5 25.7 39.4 37.8 92.5 7.13 52.5 47.6
A. Jones A. Jones G 24 0.0 9.4 5.1 4.0 1.8 0.3 3.5 8.6 8.4 396 30 13.2 19.4 40.3 31.6 75.9 -2.48 49.0 44.7
A. Vernerey A. Vernerey NA 5 0.0 8.4 4.8 2.8 1.8 3.2 1.4 6.4 13.2 208 29 7.2 21.9 65.6 0 0.0 1.85 62.2 65.6
C. Wells C. Wells G 6 0.0 6.3 1.8 2.0 1.8 0.2 1.0 5.2 6.0 248 25 9.9 22.3 38.7 47.4 100.0 4.18 57.2 53.2
R. Jackson R. Jackson F 6 0.0 5.3 3.7 0.8 1.0 0.2 1.2 7.2 2.7 181 22 8.2 19.7 32.6 10.0 60.0 3.22 35.4 33.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG