Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -21 (63-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gray | 0 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Wells | 0 | 6-11 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| H. Peters | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| E. Williams | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. Jones | 0 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. McDaniel | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Rountree | 0 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| W. Rolle | 0 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 3-14 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 8 | - |
* = starter