Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.3% | 18.7% | -8.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -21 (41-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wells | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| H. Peters | 0 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| E. Williams | 0 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| A. Jones | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Gray | 0 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Franklin | 0 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| K. Wolfe | 0 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -9 | - |
| S. Egwu | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. McCall | 0 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Crosby | 0 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | - |
* = starter