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2013-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 93.9% 6.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 91.6% 8.4% - โœ“
Margin 98.6% 1.4% -23.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 72.6% 27.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 88.7% 11.3% - โœ“

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -29 (44-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jones 0 3-6 1-2 2-4 7 3 2 1 2 9 14 -
C. Gray 0 2-8 0-2 3-3 4 3 3 0 4 7 5 -
T. Liston 0 4-8 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 9 5 -
H. Peters 0 3-8 1-3 0-0 7 4 0 0 2 7 8 -
E. Williams 0 8-14 0-1 2-2 7 2 3 4 1 18 19 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Rose 0 5-8 0-0 1-3 5 0 4 1 2 11 11 -
L. Wright 0 1-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
C. Douglas 0 2-10 0-4 1-2 3 4 0 0 5 5 -3 -
A. Williams 0 2-6 1-3 0-2 4 4 0 0 10 5 -3 -
L. Boykin 0 5-11 1-4 1-2 4 3 1 0 2 12 7 -

* = starter