Model Predictions
| Model | Presbyterian Blue Hose | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.5% | 98.5% | +29.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +43.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +39 (84-45). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Presbyterian Blue Hose
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariah Pietrowski | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Dria David | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Noelle Carter | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sherece Smith | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Karlee Taylor | 0 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Peters | 0 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 0 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Tricia Liston | 0 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Allison Vernerey | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
* = starter