Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +7 (65-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. McDaniel | 0 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5 | - |
| B. Rountree | 0 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| W. Rolle | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 5-23 | 1-3 | 5-10 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Peters | 0 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 3 | - |
| E. Williams | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| T. Liston | 0 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 2 | - |
| A. Vernerey | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Jones | 0 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 12 | - |
* = starter